I actually waited for a week to go by before writing this post about the compulsory annuity scheme for those under 50. This is to allow time for me to cool down or this post will be full of unreadable expletives if i was to write about the topic at the point of reading the sketchy details about the compulsory scheme. And i am still angry and disappointed!
Another adjustment, another tinkering, another impediment towards accessing my CPF funds. When will it end? Combined with the recent increase in draw down age for the Minimum Sum from 62 to 65, this compulsory annuity scheme represents a double whammy for me.
Forcing me into an annuity scheme that pays me a pittance of between $200 to $300 monthly when i am 85 ( what will that be worth with adjusted inflation at about 1.5 per cent per annum? $150 to $180? ) and zilch if i was to die before that, with all past contributions confiscated and not going to my children, is something that is extremely difficult for me to accept.
It is actually diluting my Minimum Sum and reducing my monthly payout at a point when i need it most, i.e. from 65 onwards when both my kids will be at an age when they will need funding to further their education. Together with the expected decline in my income when i carry on working in my elderly years ( My post: CPF and Me), provided there are still jobs available, i can foresee that life for my family and me in my elderly years is going to be very tough. Is there no other alternative?
Both the increase in Minimum Sum draw down age and the compulsory annuity scheme are largely based on unproven and baseless presumptions of expected and exaggerated increases in life expectancy. Besides, increases in life expectancy, if any, will largely be confine to those who can afford better health care, have access to cutting-edge medical technology, better nutrition and a lifestyle that does not require them to constantly worry about surviving in competitive Singapore, none of which applies to me and i believe, also to a substantial segment of our population.
The compulsory scheme essentially has Singaporeans funding fellow citizens retirement needs and benefits only a small segment of the population who lives to a ripe old age. Outsiders, who do not know better, will think that Singapore is an oasis of calm, a stress-free environment where everyone live past their 100s. As pointed out in my post : CPF and Me, with the stresses inherent in our pace of life, i doubt i will see past 70, much less 85. While there might be some exceptions, the menial nature of the jobs that the lower income group engages in, generally does not and will not result in longer life expectancy.
While I accept that there is a pressing need to deal with the twin issues of insufficient retirement funds and the increases in the elderly population due to the spike in births of the late boomers ( those born between 1955 and 1965 ) , I cannot help but wonder where was the foresight? Surely somebody in our highly vaunted and talented government should have spotted it earlier and come up with viable solutions years ago. After all, they have more than 40 years of statistical warnings. Isn’t foresight one of the key quality of good governance? Imagine an annuity scheme that starts paying out at age 60 with premiums deductable when we are at 40! Now that will be good foresight, great governance and a beneficial financial instrument for our retirement needs.
I could go on and on about my rejection of the compulsory annuity scheme but my conclusion reached in my last post : My CPF…Where are thou?, will be my guiding light from now onwards. That is, not to depend on my CPF for my retirement planning because i am very sure there will be further policy changes and tinkering in years to come. And for the first time in my life, i am seriously thinking about migrating, not so much for myself, but for the sake of my children. As days go by, i am feeling more and more alienated and disillusioned in this little dot i called home and it most definitely does not feel….inclusive.
For further commentary of the compulsory annuity scheme, the following are excerpts from the Singapore blogosphere regarding this issue :
Here is a piece by Insane Polygons whose tone, tenor and substance would be very close to mine if i had written this post when i was very angry :
“Recently our PM announced plans for a compulsory annuity plan to prepare for those will live beyond the age of 85. I have to admit, I haven’t really paid it much attention. Somehow, I didn’t think it would make me a happier person. The reasons given will be condescending at best and insulting at worst. PM does what PM wants anyway. So frankly I don’t give a damn.
Nonetheless, I find it saddening the PM, the government do not trust the people enough to think that they will be able to plan for their own retirement. Nope. The nanny state decided they must make it compulsory for everybody to buy an annuity plan.
Is that sad or what?
Government don’t think we are smart enough, or mature enough to prepare for our retirement. And if they be proven right, then wouldn’t it be doubly sad that the majority of singaporeans really do not know how to prepare for retirement and need the government to actually hold their little hands right up till the ripe old age of 85.
Of course there will be no shortage of anti-pap analysis and conspiracy theories out there explaining how this is just another plot by the government to hold on to our money. I am not here to debate the validity of their points, but again its sad to see people don’t trust their government and they see everything as a ploy to squeeze another few cents out of us.
Read more…
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A thought provoking piece by The Yawning Bread :
CPF and It’s Creaky Assumptions.
…I can’t recall who said it, but someone pointed out that it’s all very well to say, work longer, retire later, but it all depends on whether there is work to be had. He hit the nail on the head.
Passing a law to raise the retirement age to 65 and requiring an employer to offer some kind of job till 67 is only good if you still have a job at 64.
In fact, this question partly explains the hue and cry over the pushing back of the CPF withdrawal age. Many Singaporeans fell out of work in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and the dotcom bust of 2001. We have plenty of stories of middle managers becoming taxi-drivers overnight. As a result, for many years, they either stopped contributing to their CPF accounts, or if they were lucky enough to find a new job, albeit at a lower salary, they contributed less than before.
There were many caught in those circumstances, as evident from the fact that 10% of Singapore households have no income. Another 50% saw their household incomes fall or stagnate between 2000 and 2005. See the article Income inequality widens markedly.
Ten years on, many of those who were made redundant in their forties, are now in their fifties. To them, it’s academic to say, keep working to 65 or 67. If they are not working now, what are they going to do for income until the CPF withdrawal age? Even if they are working, how secure are their jobs? Would their employer try some way to get rid of them before they get too close to 65?
Read more…
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Old Age Is Not A Blessing by Seah Chiang Nee
“..Many Singaporeans are unhappy with the government retaining any part of their life-long savings, preferring to be repaid in full at 55 as originally planned. “It is our money and we should be allowed to use it any way we want,” posted one writer. “Trust people to do what is best for themselves.”
But by far the loudest protest is reserved for Lee’s proposal to start a compulsory annuity scheme to finance people who reach 85 years old. This is how it works. A small portion of the CPF minimum sum will be used to buy the annuity that will pay out nothing for 20 years. At 85, if he lives that long, he gets a monthly payout of S$250 – S$300 (RM571– RM686) until death. Should the person die before 85 the money goes into a pool to help other 85-year-olds, not to his next-of-kin.
The concept of the government compelling hundreds of thousands to buy an annuity and get nothing in return if they do not live longer than 85 has angered a wide section of the population.
Read more…
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Views by Leong Sze Hian The Online Citizen:
‘Those with the full CPF Minimum Sum should be okay. But if you make those who don’t even have the full Minimum Sum buy annuities, they may not have enough left to survive,’ he said.To illustrate, he estimated that based on a CPF Minimum Sum of $120,000, a CPF member would get $1,180 by drawing down his CPF but only $900 from an annuity.
The Government will raise the Minimum Sum in stages until it reaches the target figure of $120,000. Currently, it is $99,600.
Mr Leong worries that those without the target Minimum Sum will get less from an annuity – maybe even too little to sustain themselves.
Perhaps it is just the issue of whether the government should be deciding for us how we should deal with our retirement, or whether we should be left to our own devices to plan for our old age. While the annuity scheme might be a good idea in theoretical economics, forcing it down Singaporeans’ throats is politically questionable.” Read more…
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An article that debunked the exaggerated increases in life expectancy by Singapore Peasants :
“THE BIG QUESTION: is this compulsory annuity scheme justified in any way?
In the first 50 years of the 20th century, the Average Life
Expectancy of the USA increased approximately from 47 to 68, an increase of 21 years. The following 50 years (1951 to 2000), the Average Life Expectancy increased from 69 to 77, an increase of only 8 years.
Clearly, the Average Life Expectancy of humans is not going to increase at a faster rate or even the same rate as the past. The spectacular increase in the longevity of humans is mainly attributed to reduction in infant mortality rates, proper sanitation, success of vaccinations in controlling infectious diseases, discovery of antimicrobial agents and so on.
In developed countries, infant mortality rates are less than 5 deaths per thousand live births. Compare that of a developing country such as Angola, which has an infant mortality rate of 184.44 deaths per thousand live births, according to wikipedia . Clearly, any further reduction in infant mortality rate will have negligible effect on the life expectancy in a country such as Singapore.
The implementation of proper sanitation, the concept of vaccinations, discovery of micro-organisms as the cause of many diseases and the subsequent use of antimicrobial agents against them are all once-off events as well. You can’t keep using these same old tactics to prolong the life of a population perpetually.
Read more…
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Online reactions and comments :
“-ask the poor to chip in 7% GST to help the poor.
-ask the mass to pay annuity to get $300 for a handful after 85.
-makes one wonder where the heck they got their mega-salary?
-That’s brilliant, dear Rich Ministers and Scholar Civil Servants. Brilliant.”
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“As we have more than $250 billion in Temasek and the Government Investment Corporation, why are Singaporeans being required to pay for those who live beyond age 85?”
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“As the reason given to raise GST was to help the poor, isn’t the additional estimated annual $1.5 billion revenue enough to provide for Singaporeans who are over age 85 and destitute? Wasn’t raising the GST supposed to help the poor?”
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“In any case, I think 85 is set such that the number of people collecting the insurance cannot be very high, nor should they be expected to live for very long past 85 (the very idea of insurance is to cover less likely event). Otherwise premiums will be quite costly.”
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“..but how did the No.1 workforce in the world for 2 decades end up without sufficient funds to retire comfortably vs a govt that accumulated the highest reserves per capita in the world?”
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“If they apply their strict standards across the board we may be somewhat sympathetic, but they bail out that loser of a company Chartered Semi with several billion $ cash infusions….do they scrutinise spending on defense as tightly as they do aid to 85 yr-olds. Do heads roll for debacle in UNSW, John Hopkins etc.?….the billions they lost in Shin Corp can be used to help 85 year olds for decades….do the reserves belong to us?”
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“This annuity thing is yet another tweak…ever since they liberalised CPF for every thing besides retirement, we had this problem. The HDB has huge surpluses thanks to changes in CPF usage. Risk pooling?…I think the biggest risk for Singaporeans is they voted for a govt that makes sure they will never see a single cent from vast reserves even in the moment of greatest need.”
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“I’ve not seen a single person speak positively about this annuity thing. They are generally bewildered how a govt can make $10 billions in upgrading promises before general elections finds it so hard to give the small number of 85 year olds $200 per month.”
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“..notice that the pay out age of 85 is also set above the average life expectancy.”
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“…mandatory participation would in fact disadvantage the poor since they have a lower life expectancy and the scheme would be actuarially unfair to them.”
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“…there has been talk of a planned organised silent protest on
sometime soon! Things are getting exciting! Read more :”
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